NCAA Football

College Football Against the Spread: Championship Weekend

sefo liufau qb colorado buffalos

#8 Colorado (+7.5) vs. #4 Washington

@ Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, CA

Friday 7:00 pm CT, FOX

I can’t believe Colorado is getting this many points. I know they’re not supposed to be this good, and while their defense has only allowed the 13th most points this season, they’re also ranked No. 103 in yards allowed. Despite this, Colorado’s defense  is going to keep this game close, and should put pressure on Washington’s Jake Browning as they have the best pass defense in the Pac-12.

Bottom Line: I don’t think Colorado will win, but their defense and QB Sefo Liufau will keep it closer than seven and the hook.

 

central-michigan-oklahoma-state-football-hail-mary-controversy

CMU upsets No. 22 Oklahoma State after controversial penalty

 

#10 Oklahoma State (+11) at #9 Oklahoma

Saturday 11:00 am CT, FOX

This is another game where I think the underdog is just getting too many points. Unlike the Pac-12 championship which is being played at a neutral site, this one is at Stillwater so Oklahoma gets a three point advantage there, but I still don’t see these teams as eight points apart. Oklahoma State has won seven in a row, and with the way they can score points in bunches, I just do not see this Oklahoma team holding them down so much that they’ll be able to cover a double digit spread. It’s also worth noting that OK State had a bye after routing TCU 31-6 so they’ve had an extra week to prepare for the biggest game of the year.

Bottom Line: Oklahoma has been playing better, but in a rivalry game against a high-flying offense, I can’t see a double digit cover. There is no money line up yet but I will be very interested to see what kind of return will be available for picking Oklahoma State outright.

 

marcus-allen-ncaa-football-iowa-penn-state-1-850x560

#7 Penn State (+3) vs. #6 Wisconsin

Saturday 7:00 pm CT, FOX

@ Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN

Penn State is 7-0-1 against the spread in their last eight games, all wins, a stretch in which they’ve averaged 40.4 points per game, so I think that trend will continue Saturday night. Wisconsin’s offense has similarly been operating at a high level having put up 31, 49, and 48 points in their last three games. I like the way the Penn State’s offense has been clicking lately, they’ve averaged 46.4 points in their past five games, although they will be facing a Wisconsin team that has been throttling opponents, allowing just 12 points per game during their six game winning streak.

Bottom Line: I think this game will be decided by three points or less, and I’ll take a red hot Penn State team +3.

Categories: NCAA Football

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